TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43ca…c219backed Under53c43,426$23,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,015.863135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c25,721$12,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,564.710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over47c16,432$7,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,708.9671650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under53c4,500$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38512152.9%64 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under54c3,476$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.041,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c2,800$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5125,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c2,234$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.1211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c1,509$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.9312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Under54c1,272$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.9720945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over46c1,003$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6245445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under24c864.11$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.792,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c709.74$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over47c612.24$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.494531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under41c564.61$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.4730548.9%149 W · 156 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over47c551.16$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.111,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over74c543.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2432166.4%213 W · 108 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under54c498.26$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0613856.5%78 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over63c484.74$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.579,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over47c434.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2356253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under54c434$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3655653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.532774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under28c357$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9630340.6%123 W · 180 L-16.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over46c336.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.982,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over47c328.64$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1828751.9%149 W · 138 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1439953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1438551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9944949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over47c224.88$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1947852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under25c223.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over47c212.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7628553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Over46c206$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.249446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over47c204.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.164231%13 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over47c204.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.164129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over47c204.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.164131.7%13 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089650%48 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under54c185.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under34c166.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.747446.6%221 W · 253 L+26.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c156.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.698,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c147$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.382,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over63c134$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.084,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.663231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c117.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.033,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over46c108.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.861,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3813344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3815147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3811441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over49c105.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.667248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under44c104.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.461,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over47c102.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0814645.9%67 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over47c102.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.084332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3731844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Over47c83.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.387651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce09…4fdcbacked Over47c83.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Under55c77.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.855056%28 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over46c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.554642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0460…7137backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012352.8%65 W · 58 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94eb…fcdfbacked Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over47c71.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8512646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over47c68.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0931052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over49c60.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0247549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over46c53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6227252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c78…7d67backed Over46c51.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over47c51.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.044332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.527646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Over78c48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.358850%44 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c45.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.782,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over46c44.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.131,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under53c43.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9242448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under54c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6822352.5%117 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over47c41.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.13026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf2d5…ab77backed Over47c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.082030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over47c41.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9335747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over47c40.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.633933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Over47c40.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.632825%7 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc915…2b84backed Over47c40.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.632425%6 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under54c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5238142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256a…8fb4backed Over47c28.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.142123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under37c28.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5431957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under42c25.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Over48c25.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.277852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over47c22.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8130554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Over47c21.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.314848.6%72 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b8…d8cebacked Under54c20.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Over56c20.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8714351%73 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over75c15.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7979955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.