MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ef180cef8b391ce4b0d59e25682f4e957b197fcfd5e41ce3de91bd5596bf003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Under | 53c | 43,426$23,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,015.86 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 25,721$12,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,564.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 16,432$7,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,708.96 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 3,476$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.04 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 2,234$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 1,509$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 54c | 1,272$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.97 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 1,003$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.62 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 24c | 864.11$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 709.74$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.46 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 47c | 612.24$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.49 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 41c | 564.61$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 551.16$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.11 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 74c | 543.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 54c | 498.26$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 63c | 484.74$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 434.39$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 54c | 434$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 336.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 47c | 328.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 47c | 224.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 25c | 223.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 47c | 212.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 46c | 206$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under | 54c | 185.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 34c | 166.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 156.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 147$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 63c | 134$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 117.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 108.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 49c | 105.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 44c | 104.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 47c | 83.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…4fdcbacked Over | 47c | 83.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Under | 55c | 77.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 47c | 71.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 49c | 60.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Over | 46c | 51.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 47c | 51.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 78c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 45.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 53c | 43.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 47c | 41.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Over | 47c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 47c | 41.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Over | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Over | 47c | 28.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 37c | 28.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 42c | 25.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 48c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 47c | 22.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…d8cebacked Under | 54c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 56c | 20.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 75c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.