MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8666fd4c10a01066aded35d2cd0607252bcaf5fb78a9839be5bb6cc563f706b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,580,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,227,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,580,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 626,208$466,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,121.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 427,706$103,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,100.44 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 21,286$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…8befbacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 14,946$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 14,119$7,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,885.43 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 12,285$5,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,756.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 10,595$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 10,185$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.28 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 8,961$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 8,830$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.44 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Texas Rangers | 72c | 8,274$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 7,958$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 7,566$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.27 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 6,477$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.77 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 5,898$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.22 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 5,857$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.45 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 5,599$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.7 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,854$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.07 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 4,510$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 4,452$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.32 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 4,423$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.5 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Texas Rangers | 78c | 4,258$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.34 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 4,089$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 3,904$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.34 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 3,464$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.82 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 3,061$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,919$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.45 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,590$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.74 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…773abacked Seattle Mariners | 3c | 2,146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,129$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,112$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.7 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 2,085$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.85 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,999$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.35 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,987$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,913$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,643$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…7335backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,612$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,555$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.24 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 1,522$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.46 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 1,485$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 1,420$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 1,302$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Texas Rangers | 78c | 1,263$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 1,171$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.15 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 1,150$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,050$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,035$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.34 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…75fbbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8c…8c15backed Texas Rangers | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 997.49$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.45 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 967$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 945.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95c…7913backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 900.48$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 849.01$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 845.63$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.09 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 838.73$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8a…c833backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 817.58$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.49 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 811.66$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.06 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 796.09$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.85 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 655.22$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 628.7$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.22 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 594.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Texas Rangers | 72c | 593.83$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 584.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.21 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 560.45$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 538.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 532.18$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.38 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Seattle Mariners | 9c | 524.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 508.72$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 508.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 504.83$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.61 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 497.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -25.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 497.76$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 490.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 467.01$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 459.43$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 447.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Texas Rangers | 74c | 400.47$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 399.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.82 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 386.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 383.36$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.85 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 370$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 358.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 350.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 347.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…2917backed Seattle Mariners | 9c | 320.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Seattle Mariners | 25c | 313$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 307.51$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.13 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 307.51$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.13 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 300.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 294.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 290.4$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…5474backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 289.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.