MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11cfb7aad23374b3833965d7ccfe006d357084a5168274c31ec85a60f1e10122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 137,799$70,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,246 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Over | 51c | 77,647$39,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,585.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 49c | 65,244$31,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,274.63 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Over | 52c | 64,740$33,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,664.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 61,555$29,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,240.39 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 48c | 48,440$23,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,188.8 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 26,544$13,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,150.56 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 11,360$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,679.92 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,453$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.56 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 52c | 6,537$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.2 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 53c | 4,442$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.85 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 3,901$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.05 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 50c | 3,065$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 50c | 2,737$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.94 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,719$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.07 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 65c | 2,470$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 2,395$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.33 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 2,144$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.02 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 41c | 2,072$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.83 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,903$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.71 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Under | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 10c | 1,900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 1,559$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.9 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 1,437$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.35 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…c199backed Under | 49c | 1,378$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 50c | 1,369$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.58 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 48c | 1,225$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 52c | 1,165$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.03 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 1,130$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 49c | 1,009$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.02 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Over | 51c | 1,009$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 50c | 966.31$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 937.55$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.78 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 51c | 873.54$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.03 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 39c | 730.05$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 701.71$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.84 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 50c | 676.09$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.05 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 673.05$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.18 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 656.79$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 50c | 614.98$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 50c | 487.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 480.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 480.59$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 480.48$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 50c | 461.72$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 50c | 461.72$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.86 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 460$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Under | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 46c | 395$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 393.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 51c | 390.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 381.6$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 52c | 367$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.41 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 365.74$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.18 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 55c | 341.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 50c | 329.8$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 322.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.11 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 49c | 317.89$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 49c | 309.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 50c | 308.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Over | 50c | 308.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 293.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 50c | 289.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 272$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 271.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 50c | 247.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Over | 50c | 247.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 50c | 232.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 49c | 221.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 52c | 198.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 50c | 168.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 167.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 50c | 160.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 51c | 157.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…3222backed Under | 49c | 156.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Over | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3a…2477backed Over | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Over | 52c | 153.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 146.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 69c | 137.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Over | 50c | 130.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 127.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.