TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Miguel Tobon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tibo Colsonof Tibo Colson, Miguel Tobon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Miguel Tobon50c29,280$14,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,661.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Tibo Colson32c22,279$7,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,042.8729241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Miguel Tobon55c13,414$7,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,387.266,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tibo Colson28c7,174$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,171.66,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Miguel Tobon57c6,560$3,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.1865558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Miguel Tobon56c3,808$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.154,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tibo Colson46c3,470$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.843,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tibo Colson50c3,240$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.188,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Miguel Tobon57c2,981$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.482,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Miguel Tobon62c2,972$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.374,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Tibo Colson57c2,941$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.4240548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tibo Colson58c2,776$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.5736944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tibo Colson46c2,742$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.2711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Tibo Colson57c2,674$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.8719851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tibo Colson46c2,175$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.884,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tibo Colson57c1,826$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.328,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Miguel Tobon48c1,782$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.571,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Miguel Tobon54c1,730$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.976,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Miguel Tobon40c1,632$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.341,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Tibo Colson43c1,363$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1485348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Tibo Colson43c1,363$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1448453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Tibo Colson40c1,330$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9828141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Tibo Colson41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.9813450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tibo Colson54c1,293$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.064,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Tibo Colson48c1,287$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.7597745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Tibo Colson38c1,158$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.2819153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Tibo Colson39c1,127$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.231,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Tibo Colson39c1,125$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.4665952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Tibo Colson39c1,123$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.3550156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Tibo Colson48c1,022$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.1813050.8%66 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Tibo Colson24c997.96$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.51,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tibo Colson50c984.3$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.151,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf402…ce7abacked Tibo Colson44c944.44$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.8816242.6%69 W · 93 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Tibo Colson35c943.62$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.7741658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Miguel Tobon61c783.4$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.922,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5908…4740backed Tibo Colson33c727.29$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+207.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3273…0c24backed Miguel Tobon52c638.08$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miguel Tobon55c634.62$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.127,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Miguel Tobon67c613.8$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.851,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa162…479dbacked Miguel Tobon52c597.66$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Miguel Tobon42c574.52$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.331656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Tibo Colson51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.761,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Miguel Tobon60c567.45$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.478936%32 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Tibo Colson44c504$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.362429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tibo Colson53c491.17$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.544,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Miguel Tobon56c486.83$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.659643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Miguel Tobon50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.51,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Tibo Colson57c452.09$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0663746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Tibo Colson48c440.8$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.143534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Tibo Colson33c433.86$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Tibo Colson59c408.36$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1161752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Miguel Tobon52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Miguel Tobon43c335.74$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1426535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tibo Colson46c331.76$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.894,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Miguel Tobon63c324.57$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8725756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Miguel Tobon52c324.55$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+62.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Miguel Tobon62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4484963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Miguel Tobon42c308.08$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.737349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Tibo Colson16c297.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.749947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Tibo Colson45c292.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1829230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Tibo Colson35c291.16$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.221,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Tibo Colson41c289.38$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.734443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Miguel Tobon60c286.16$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.73,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Tibo Colson42c285.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7332247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tibo Colson46c266$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.647,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Miguel Tobon59c260.51$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.16,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Tibo Colson44c257.98$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5423758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Miguel Tobon55c255.36$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6227240.4%110 W · 162 L-25.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Miguel Tobon59c247.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3125250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Tibo Colson74c231.46$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8891880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Tibo Colson63c224.54$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2276853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Tibo Colson29c200.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6357052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Tibo Colson59c194.76$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.231,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Tibo Colson40c192.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6810150.5%51 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Tibo Colson62c192.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9930555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Miguel Tobon59c185.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.737834.6%27 W · 51 L-9.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Miguel Tobon54c179.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2512831.3%40 W · 88 L-20.8wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Miguel Tobon50c178.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2485748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Miguel Tobon56c173.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0517262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Tibo Colson61c170.49$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2348652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Miguel Tobon59c166.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.371,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tibo Colson59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Miguel Tobon59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5421856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Tibo Colson62c160.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9229652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Tibo Colson38c159.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2613151.9%68 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Tibo Colson58c156.32$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.275950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tibo Colson38c154.37$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.717,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Miguel Tobon59c148.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4799056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tibo Colson52c145.96$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.931,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Miguel Tobon50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.756360.3%38 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Miguel Tobon50c142.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1770148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Miguel Tobon57c139.31$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4138955.3%215 W · 174 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tibo Colson27c135$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.554,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…e392backed Tibo Colson54c134.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.892548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Tibo Colson36c133.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4812739.4%50 W · 77 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Tibo Colson46c133.07$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.139054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Tibo Colson39c131.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3810454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Miguel Tobon57c120.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1722550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Miguel Tobon53c118.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.73,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Miguel Tobon75c116$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8717958.1%104 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.