Premier League · resolved market
Will France win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3022ddeae4d2af031fa31a497ed8360d6cdb6fd4725bf572285a3f8d86824e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 21c | 6,153$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.16 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 79c | 4,448$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 19c | 3,817$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.57 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 21c | 2,620$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.08 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…6820backed Yes | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Yes | 80c | 1,964$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 20c | 1,720$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.77 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 21c | 1,255$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.09 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…3d0ebacked Yes | 80c | 627.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…14a4backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked No | 20c | 575$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked No | 17c | 446.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…04ddbacked Yes | 79c | 351.41$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.61 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…9a48backed Yes | 79c | 253.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…61bebacked Yes | 67c | 167$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3013backed Yes | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 21c | 146.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…227ebacked Yes | 79c | 146.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…cd37backed Yes | 80c | 139.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 19c | 111$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 21c | 102.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…5794backed Yes | 79c | 95.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…fecbbacked Yes | 78c | 91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…76b5backed Yes | 74c | 85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 22c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4952…4d90backed No | 15c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +113%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…8571backed Yes | 79c | 62.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Yes | 79c | 62.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed No | 22c | 53.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…7c74backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7a…cae0backed Yes | 80c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…07a6backed Yes | 80c | 38.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d86…07f2backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…6b75backed Yes | 79c | 29.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…5962backed Yes | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…f204backed Yes | 79c | 27.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…a23dbacked Yes | 79c | 26.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…295bbacked Yes | 69c | 25.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…7791backed Yes | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf9…43fbbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc147…f90abacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…3632backed Yes | 80c | 21.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcded…613dbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…6c36backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…f27fbacked Yes | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…122bbacked Yes | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…3e9abacked Yes | 79c | 15.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…1460backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…9dcdbacked Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…5f0abacked Yes | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88c…0926backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…1909backed Yes | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…5ba0backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…4929backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win?this page
- Will Poland win?No won
- Will the match be a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.