Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe95ce5554d13559a3feb28d3d53b485a8dceb8a073713462993b3246e88e213d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 3,496$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.2 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,366$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.06 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 31c | 1,141$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 1,136$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.42 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 79c | 1,002$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 902.03$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 532.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 532.03$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 24c | 504.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 24c | 413.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 24c | 393.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 304.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Yes | 25c | 231$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 37c | 205.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 25c | 199.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…8084backed Yes | 25c | 197.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 26c | 181$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 33c | 178.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 17c | 172$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 162.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes | 36c | 153.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…cc86backed Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 129.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked No | 73c | 112.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 109.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 35c | 101.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 26c | 100.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 17c | 100.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 81.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 78c | 80.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 78.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 66c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 23c | 65.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 79c | 62.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 71c | 62.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 57.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 23c | 56.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 18c | 55.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 52.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9761…9070backed Yes | 32c | 49.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 24c | 43.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed No | 76c | 41.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 80c | 40.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 67c | 29.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 25.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 73c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.