TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd41a…fd60backed Yes37c12,738$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,987.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c12,397$8,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,609.8398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c11,863$8,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,923.2547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf888…1c98backed Yes14c7,980$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,830.71030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes20c6,085$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,869.6446644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xede0…ff11backed No56c2,860$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes19c2,630$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No56c1,856$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.191833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed No51c1,366$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes13c1,354$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.541338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+148.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes54c1,191$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.695853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes9c1,113$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.334634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes10c1,084$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.342343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+85.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No68c1,043$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.7730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes11c1,000$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8904928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c797.2$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5615140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No62c688$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes36c537.53$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.33354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes57c465.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.455846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes65c463.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No79c420.24$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes42c413.5$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.89944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e4…b726backed Yes40c410.75$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes47c351.98$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.221855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.821811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes43c329.89$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.281275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No46c328.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3e…79b7backed Yes66c313.95$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Yes49c306.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes26c300$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.662030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes47c299.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7079…718dbacked No52c299.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No79c288.72$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.248747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes24c286.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.552878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes32c283$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.686471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No72c240$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.032634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes18c229.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No64c224$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.361346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.222142.9%9 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+118.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes33c200.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.121952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes10c199.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes36c193.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.283951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes36c187.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.23941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes67c163.35$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.35757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes42c150$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No70c139.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.641735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed No76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes38c127.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5516865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes42c118.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.561546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b75…c585backed Yes45c111.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes36c102.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+181.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed No33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes19c99.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.991283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+83%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes22c99.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+117.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes35c95.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes20c94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes55c91.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.082356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes27c85.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5514047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e9…d331backed Yes32c77.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+210.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No77c72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No26c67.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae4…955abacked Yes25c67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ad…9f1ebacked Yes35c66.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9054…c40abacked Yes30c65.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9761…9070backed Yes32c62.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.813540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes28c59.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.394252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed No60c59.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No61c58.56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.721172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No73c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No62c53.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.266050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x963a…9112backed Yes40c50.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ee…4169backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No68c42.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.762564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b3…f8d4backed No58c41.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed No48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc93b…9e73backed Yes28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cc…6aa7backed No71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes63c39.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked Yes27c38.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+239.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Yes37c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No67c37.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.316352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No67c37.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.316549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Yes28c37.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+66.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1427…859fbacked No70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x980a…1db9backed Yes69c34.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked No80c33.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+294.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No75c32.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.343158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No67c32.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.433946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…61f0backed Yes49c31.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No67c29.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed12…246abacked No72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.