Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe20755405924d19e07f21b8553cccc7a67e4205a2ccae314f2030263a819a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 23c | 5,612$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.85 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 51c | 2,967$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.6 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 2,870$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.06 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…c5e2backed Yes | 24c | 2,625$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 67c | 1,947$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.99 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 79c | 1,802$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.38 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,697$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 31c | 1,535$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.73 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 75c | 1,234$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 76c | 1,218$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.49 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 48c | 1,217$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.2 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,191$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.58 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 25c | 993.2$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 78c | 986.8$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.1 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 903.8$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.39 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 76c | 894.82$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 49c | 890.27$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.23 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 80c | 802.75$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 26c | 774.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 728.16$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.76 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 26c | 721.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 75c | 597.84$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 23c | 590.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 23c | 508$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 475.54$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 25c | 424.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 78c | 414.46$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 78c | 414.46$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 398.03$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 78c | 365.12$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 22c | 360.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…01febacked Yes | 25c | 325.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…cc86backed Yes | 22c | 285.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 280.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 20c | 279.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 54c | 243.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…56b8backed Yes | 25c | 240.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 238.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 20c | 213.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 25c | 203.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 20c | 198.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed No | 77c | 168.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 21c | 140.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 23c | 138$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 25c | 133.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 24c | 115.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 47c | 113.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…262bbacked Yes | 21c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 102.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 100.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 99.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 90.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…c3a6backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…7dcfbacked No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 22c | 69.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 77c | 68.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 27c | 66.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 23c | 63.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 62.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 62.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…80bbbacked Yes | 22c | 59.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 57.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…729bbacked Yes | 27c | 56.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 55.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 55.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 24c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 77c | 51.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 67c | 51.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 78c | 50.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 46.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 45.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 33c | 45.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 77c | 43.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 76c | 41.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 37.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 33.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 76c | 32.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 29.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 76c | 29.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 27.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 57c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 25.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.