Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5022b33633b6ca3bf4cb84e0dcb89de1dc4a48e039cfc71ea8a3c81dc73e3870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 52c | 271,211$139,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,409.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 49c | 203,971$99,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,085.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 52c | 93,052$48,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,664.84 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 48c | 42,146$20,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,115.7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 50c | 29,127$14,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,547.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 48c | 22,666$10,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,879.62 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 51c | 21,353$10,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,463.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 48c | 14,065$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,751.16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 53c | 12,189$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.26 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked No | 48c | 9,842$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 9,602$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.71 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 48c | 9,550$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 8,131$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.49 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 48c | 6,539$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.91 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 50c | 5,832$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.99 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 53c | 5,146$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.72 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 3,944$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.23 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 3,892$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.12 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked No | 49c | 3,460$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked No | 48c | 3,426$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 48c | 3,332$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.22 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 48c | 3,289$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.29 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Yes | 53c | 3,117$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Yes | 51c | 3,030$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 49c | 2,963$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.21 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked No | 51c | 2,874$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 2,729$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.35 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 52c | 2,201$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.07 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…ad1ebacked No | 49c | 2,096$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked No | 49c | 2,046$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…9837backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 49c | 1,910$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.85 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 3c | 1,769$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,715$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…a39cbacked No | 49c | 1,710$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 51c | 1,535$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.38 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,183$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.91 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 1,140$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.02 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 48c | 1,003$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.67 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 23c | 957.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.64 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 49c | 926$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…16c3backed No | 48c | 788.3$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed No | 49c | 769.15$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 678.94$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.66 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 48c | 659$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 46c | 599.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 49c | 574.41$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…498bbacked No | 48c | 564.08$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 52c | 561$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.91 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 2c | 535.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 528.23$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 47c | 442.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 42c | 413.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 48c | 406.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.31 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 48c | 403.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 50c | 393.82$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 51c | 376.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 48c | 375.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 60c | 370.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 49c | 370$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked No | 48c | 369$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 49c | 354.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 50c | 317.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed No | 48c | 304.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 48c | 281.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 268.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 73c | 243$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…f62bbacked Yes | 53c | 229.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 57c | 226.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 219.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 51c | 218.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed Yes | 50c | 216.22$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.