TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x75bd…0288backed No6c18,351$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.764553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No53c12,216$6,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,474.261471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes48c11,921$5,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,173.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c11,430$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,506.247850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes54c8,086$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.5814060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes49c7,678$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.331957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes49c7,550$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.782737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c7,535$3,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,987.7298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No42c5,094$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.589431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes45c3,140$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.731643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No39c3,030$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.5623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c2,990$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.84277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf983…7fb3backed Yes50c2,611$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes48c2,588$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.741323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes46c2,370$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.853773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes42c2,105$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.491181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c2,081$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.7943748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No49c2,021$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.672025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Yes74c1,609$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes37c1,352$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c1,121$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.7613551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes57c978$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4911063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes52c925.79$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.382878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No57c879.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No57c877.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.941866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes46c860.22$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No54c855.22$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No52c849.74$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.861968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c823.37$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.3415140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c784.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0310633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No57c782.45$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.91833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes53c754.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.713354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.685935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No40c742.12$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0430954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c717$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.216858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes47c641.81$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.081656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+206.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes45c637.5$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.632025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No27c614.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.053354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No39c608.34$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No48c570.32$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes52c568.25$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.324546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed Yes71c459$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c430.78$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9546644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes49c408.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.333951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes47c380$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No52c377.08$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.081855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No55c364.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No40c357.95$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes48c333.78$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.781118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes47c316.17$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.982832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No46c266$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.272634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c255$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes37c253.7$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes58c247.79$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9414047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e8…dc9abacked Yes80c237.5$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes49c234$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.383256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5812…90a9backed No50c220.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e6…5ec9backed No50c219.73$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d97…0319backed No50c218.19$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x564e…ceb4backed No50c213.71$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e27…ee16backed No50c213.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c3…aa04backed No50c213.47$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0335…caf1backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…f4fbbacked No50c211.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa292…d691backed No50c211.02$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.23063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.22766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8280…2b64backed No50c208.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes48c206.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.981566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20d…2f01backed No50c200.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed No26c200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd027…cc86backed Yes35c199.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ad…550ebacked No50c199.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7c…e5babacked No50c199.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa206…536bbacked No50c197.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No27c195$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.651861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19d3…3661backed No50c194.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No53c192.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4232453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13a…b333backed No50c190.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes19c187.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.242236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No52c185$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.22864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes71c181.17$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.541957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes76c178.43$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7813049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c164.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3110837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Yes45c162.16$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes42c161.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4211050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No51c160.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.446352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+88.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.