Australian A League · resolved market
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e87ed149e42cdefee4ec592cc4e9bcf5afbfa38a7a11b673f53b734e0070203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed No | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 26c | 12,481$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.94 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 33c | 6,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 5,680$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.7 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 3,797$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.25 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 3,370$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.13 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 53c | 2,962$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.92 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 2,342$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.94 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,371$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.44 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked No | 70c | 560.01$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 549.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 26c | 545.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 524.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 477.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 468.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 34c | 465$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 73c | 414.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 27c | 282$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 21c | 221$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 30c | 196.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 74c | 194.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 189.94$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…cc86backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 171.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 44c | 156.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 155.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 148.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 22c | 131.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 72c | 89.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Yes | 33c | 79.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 79.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 72.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Yes | 15c | 69.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 62.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 36c | 52.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 26c | 49.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 26c | 41.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 25c | 39.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…ab22backed Yes | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…9e6abacked Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 36.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 72c | 30.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…44fbbacked Yes | 49c | 28.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 74c | 26.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 71c | 24.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 24.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.