TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No66c16,743$11,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,740.4846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c11,597$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,696.5698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes55c6,239$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.6413049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No43c3,672$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.31471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c1,852$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.2347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes28c1,799$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No77c1,725$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.284100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c1,439$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.3815140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes22c1,379$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.384553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes26c1,017$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes9c933.51$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.249431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No46c605$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes24c510.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+148.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c447$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked No47c427$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+127.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes45c423.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.431838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes20c414$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.542240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes53c413.21$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes17c412.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.155853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…f5e9backed No76c412.39$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c390.76$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes26c387.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.543773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes23c360.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.693354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes18c333.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.042343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes34c333$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2214060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes27c323.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No73c320.55$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.555246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes23c293.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.178747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes30c264$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.842634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c242.81$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.810857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes25c232$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb8…5a18backed No46c215.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5211063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes19c183.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.016823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No46c175$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8511050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes30c163.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.634553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes25c134$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8632453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes51c125.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.251844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked No49c117.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.321838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c102.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5316858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5813540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes15c99.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes25c98.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes40c97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+75.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd1c…44fbbacked Yes52c95.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes39c94.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes54c93.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.275255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b15…d362backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed No47c76.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+66.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No74c71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.642060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed Yes15c70.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+132.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes30c68.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.672055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes32c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.483330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No68c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed No47c58.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc86b…675cbacked Yes27c58.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Yes32c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No68c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes52c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes39c53.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.645257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes28c49.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked No80c43.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes36c41.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x45b3…af31backed Yes58c40.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes53c32.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+187.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes44c31.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked No80c25.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No48c24.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No73c21.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No75c20.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed No77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.142878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70d4…16a1backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.