TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Astrosof Colorado Rockies, Houston Astros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros63c103,103$64,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,148.1638148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Colorado Rockies37c46,053$17,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,039.7721040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,80031149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies37c10,343$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.063,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Houston Astros62c9,006$5,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.355450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Colorado Rockies36c8,918$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.4813349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros64c8,213$5,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.571,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Houston Astros63c6,325$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.165050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies37c5,279$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.642,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies18c5,061$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.342,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Colorado Rockies17c4,649$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.1623036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros63c4,500$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6655,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies32c4,052$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.761,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado Rockies16c3,860$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.61,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Colorado Rockies37c3,711$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.8367849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros79c3,604$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.6410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Colorado Rockies12c3,480$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.552015%3 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Colorado Rockies38c3,040$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.3619250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Houston Astros63c2,694$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.7316547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies19c2,419$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.1412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies16c2,179$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.358,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Colorado Rockies37c2,138$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.061,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Colorado Rockies18c2,113$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3216814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies12c2,052$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.271,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies17c2,047$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.346,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b46…82e2backed Colorado Rockies5c1,972$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Houston Astros64c1,957$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.4544451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Houston Astros80c1,810$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5668769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Colorado Rockies37c1,777$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.3975049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Colorado Rockies38c1,721$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.861,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies37c1,631$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.736,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Colorado Rockies38c1,540$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.3812049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros75c1,479$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.622,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros78c1,456$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.389,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Colorado Rockies6c1,369$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.791,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros72c1,042$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.541,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Colorado Rockies38c1,013$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1210842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50dc…b61abacked Houston Astros76c997.43$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.382268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Colorado Rockies25c981.24$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.312025%5 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Colorado Rockies14c933.3$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7188046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros62c900.55$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.211,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6694034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Houston Astros65c809.35$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2511451.8%59 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Houston Astros79c789.84$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0755464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x93e0…6238backed Colorado Rockies37c663.14$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Houston Astros63c662.02$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.952846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Colorado Rockies21c652.26$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.333228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies37c639.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.81,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Colorado Rockies15c632.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.920443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Rockies22c619.2$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5755541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Colorado Rockies10c591.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2435240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Colorado Rockies11c557.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.157529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2430…4527backed Houston Astros63c543.22$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Colorado Rockies17c528.38$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.098643%37 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18585952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies8c494.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.921,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Colorado Rockies37c481.1$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.011,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Colorado Rockies30c466.33$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6129141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8185…3da7backed Houston Astros64c458.63$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Colorado Rockies36c450$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Colorado Rockies19c444.39$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2815243.4%66 W · 86 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Colorado Rockies36c427.36$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.854146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a30…6a4ebacked Colorado Rockies5c404.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.071323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Houston Astros71c397.77$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2434145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Colorado Rockies28c382.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1618649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies37c380.82$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.151,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Colorado Rockies26c367.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5611942.9%51 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked Colorado Rockies38c355.27$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357248.6%35 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Colorado Rockies20c342.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.739725.8%25 W · 72 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Houston Astros63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8566448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies37c300$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Houston Astros77c295.79$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1265651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Colorado Rockies37c294.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1336649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Colorado Rockies37c280$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.663644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff72…6146backed Colorado Rockies17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.512222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Colorado Rockies36c272$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Colorado Rockies37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.224337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies37c260$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.21,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…b115backed Houston Astros79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.492050%10 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Colorado Rockies21c238.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.011,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Colorado Rockies29c235.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.271,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Colorado Rockies29c235.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2734452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Colorado Rockies18c233.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8326315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8579…9339backed Houston Astros64c226.59$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Colorado Rockies38c224.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2540645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Houston Astros63c200.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6435446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d9…3d1fbacked Houston Astros65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55af…6a1bbacked Colorado Rockies37c199.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9936345.7%166 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Colorado Rockies33c193.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.751555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Colorado Rockies38c192.56$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.174548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Colorado Rockies37c192.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.258943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Colorado Rockies34c192.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4516453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Houston Astros64c185.9$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9277050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies17c184.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.562,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Colorado Rockies8c177.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.178333.7%28 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Colorado Rockies37c176.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1513442.5%57 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a4…02d6backed Colorado Rockies18c172.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.972347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.