South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3955b6ee810a101822114a83b4a5a46c79eebfd8f3f43ff6a9f9a64d9a6ba2b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Yes | 56c | 2,035$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 1,838$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 36c | 961.8$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.46 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 63c | 535.63$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked No | 45c | 501.87$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 32c | 423.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 363.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 71c | 317.25$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 24c | 315.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 38c | 308$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 63c | 210.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 16c | 205.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 203.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 184.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked No | 23c | 165.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 65c | 164.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yes | 61c | 160.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 63c | 144$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 60c | 134.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 38c | 123.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 113.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 110.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 16c | 110.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 45c | 105.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 99.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…cc86backed Yes | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 35c | 78.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 66.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…6c25backed No | 36c | 64.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 61c | 62.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…8053backed Yes | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 59.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 67c | 59.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 66c | 54.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 64c | 50.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…844cbacked Yes | 61c | 49.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed No | 25c | 49.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 80c | 46.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafd…723fbacked No | 43c | 46.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…f58bbacked No | 44c | 45.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 44c | 45.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 42.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 49c | 39.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…e4b0backed Yes | 58c | 38.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…c154backed No | 62c | 34.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 58c | 32.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 58c | 32.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 57c | 30.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes | 56c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 58c | 25.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 59c | 25.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 59c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 59c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes | 59c | 25.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 58c | 25.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 57c | 23.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 56c | 23.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Yes | 74c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Caracas FC win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will Caracas FC vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-04-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.