MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac5a3cfeaf9470cb404386af4ca44c264f4caf0a0508313506e9c2a1e712b91c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Houston Astros | 56c | 34,771$19,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,472 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 17c | 25,078$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.36 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 22,700$9,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,712 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 21,572$9,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,612.12 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 17,833$9,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,982.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 56c | 17,386$9,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,736 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 15,634$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,637.09 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Houston Astros | 29c | 12,657$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.56 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Houston Astros | 55c | 11,979$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.81 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 56c | 11,525$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,507.9 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 9,895$6,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Houston Astros | 49c | 9,890$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.03 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 1c | 6,996$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 5c | 5,148$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.28 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,492$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.49 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 12c | 4,431$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.65 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 56c | 4,024$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.48 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Houston Astros | 16c | 3,972$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.23 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Houston Astros | 22c | 3,886$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.83 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,054$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.14 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,856$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.05 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 2,852$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.07 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,807$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.53 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,636$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.96 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Houston Astros | 1c | 2,587$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Houston Astros | 58c | 2,437$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Houston Astros | 1c | 2,391$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 17c | 2,340$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.46 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 20c | 2,296$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.81 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Houston Astros | 27c | 2,249$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.26 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 2c | 2,192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,175$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.97 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 2,079$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.97 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 7c | 2,032$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,980$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.59 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,879$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.19 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Houston Astros | 5c | 1,799$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,309$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.87 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,268$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.77 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 26c | 1,125$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.94 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,039$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.3 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 977.9$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.62 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Houston Astros | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 964.83$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.96 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 25c | 833.65$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 786.49$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.57 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 784.4$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.47 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 699.49$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 673.58$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.21 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 656.43$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 594.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Astros | 15c | 562.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 549.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Houston Astros | 25c | 547.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3657backed Houston Astros | 57c | 528.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 3c | 527.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Houston Astros | 56c | 485.15$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.68 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 484.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 477.52$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 471.61$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.1 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Houston Astros | 5c | 471.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 461.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Houston Astros | 9c | 453.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Houston Astros | 35c | 432.77$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.23 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 425.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.01 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 409.36$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 394.96$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +171.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 389.21$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 377.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Houston Astros | 56c | 373.45$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.64 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Houston Astros | 56c | 341.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 317.13$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Houston Astros | 15c | 316.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f5…ab8cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 309.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 307.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 307.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 295.68$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 294.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 289.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Houston Astros | 16c | 279.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Houston Astros | 54c | 276.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 264.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 246.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 273 | 51.6%141 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 244.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Houston Astros | 44c | 243$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 5c | 240.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 240.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 239.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe651…4661backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 237.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 78cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Houston Astros | 57c | 233.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Astros | 17c | 223.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.