TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes71c3,296$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.973363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c3,162$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.62,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No40c2,536$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.263256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22524523.3%57 W · 188 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c1,403$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.95,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No38c1,000$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.531855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes64c999.95$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.988132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes52c735.13$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1113641.9%57 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No33c634$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2210846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes66c602.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.721,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.014463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No35c596.15$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2430049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes69c568.57$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2722656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No33c556.82$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.271,76650.2%887 W · 879 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No18c514.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0929425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No41c500.15$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Yes67c448.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.361942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes76c446.42$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3311863.6%75 W · 43 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No11c439.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3782053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No20c433.23$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.535655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No15c422.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3449044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No33c405.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.94136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes69c402.9$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+65.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No34c388.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0640448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes61c368.66$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.491,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No35c350.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes54c334.8$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5139058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes60c316.85$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.748735.6%31 W · 56 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Yes53c311.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.321361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420520%41 W · 164 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No33c298.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.831,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No13c291.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.289631.3%30 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…04a8backed Yes40c250.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No36c242.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3513746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No12c236.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4277056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yes60c222.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No27c212.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.541,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb8…5a18backed Yes49c204.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084663%29 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+60.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed No36c199.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Yes66c196.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.973748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes51c196.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.862941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes65c179.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6317151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes60c174.65$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.841,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes65c170.86$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes62c160.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes67c150.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8710041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0d1…b169backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Yes66c140$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.62272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0976…8f4ebacked Yes68c132.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No21c130.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5346422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No37c129.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8932560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked No21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No15c117.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.065461.1%33 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282564%16 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75c…b6d3backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed No34c91.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.381040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No20c86.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9111023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6633…3916backed Yes65c85.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3333552.8%177 W · 158 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.67557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.621941.6%91 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.619158.6%112 W · 79 L+19.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4792…8870backed No28c77.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+115%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No36c71.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3318647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes80c71.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.253568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb911…8bb6backed Yes44c69.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f43…d489backed No33c63.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No17c59.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0672944.2%322 W · 407 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes67c58.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.241080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes65c57.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.196238.7%24 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes60c56.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.523658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd1…041bbacked Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No35c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28729.9%26 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22010%2 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No48c39.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.872588%22 W · 3 L+7.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+61.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xecc5…6e99backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No48c38.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No33c35.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.673571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No36c35.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.549554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No48c33.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0413563.7%86 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No36c33.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9516561.2%101 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No36c31.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.493966.7%26 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No36c31.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4947860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No35c30.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8256545.5%257 W · 308 L-24.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3267…da9ebacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xede9…8504backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes54c30.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9126348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No35c29.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4916746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No35c29.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.629860.2%59 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No36c29.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.734558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.783363.6%21 W · 12 L+7.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No47c27.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.