Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28188da574846a812987607ec8bfc52a0435553d917f3cfd5089869f6d380452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 14c | 2,149$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 1,553$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Yes | 15c | 1,263$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,205$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked No | 74c | 1,156$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,050$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 74c | 977$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 26c | 977$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…fb46backed Yes | 26c | 774$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…5f6abacked Yes | 26c | 372$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 16c | 316.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 15c | 294$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 14c | 278.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 15c | 274$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Yes | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked Yes | 14c | 167$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed Yes | 14c | 163$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 14c | 144$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 122.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Yes | 15c | 121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 14c | 119.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 14c | 98.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 16c | 88.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 80c | 34.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…3973backed Yes | 39c | 32.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?Yes won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.