Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d4c2582ae71cc76ee67b5f1888ebaf8bde74602b3295dbdb03d10561cfa1da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 34c | 7,066$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 4,368$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.27 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,753$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,582$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 33c | 808.39$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.77 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…7539backed No | 78c | 508.21$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +241.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc777…5938backed Yes | 22c | 508.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 73c | 425.59$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 24c | 413.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 361.46$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 67c | 344.34$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 21c | 316.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 34c | 261.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 227.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 215.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 207.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 63c | 200.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 164.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 158$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 158$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 141.18$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 122.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 95.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 21c | 90.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 80c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 71.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 64c | 60.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 22c | 56.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…56d1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 45.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 36.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 67c | 22.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 67c | 19.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 18.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 66c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?Yes won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.