Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ed8cddbe22474a1c2bfaf3400a902a3a30e3caf39a1b6c3ef4202415031825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 14c | 1,326$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 14c | 1,305$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 1,031$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 13c | 957$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 13c | 892$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Yes | 12c | 841.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 719.9$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 708.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 40c | 593.02$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.68 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 544.28$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 60c | 445.53$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 15c | 399.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 19c | 331.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed No | 62c | 322.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 38c | 304.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 17c | 299.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…af0ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 244.59$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 203.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 77c | 195.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 60c | 180$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Yes | 11c | 113.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 112.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 35c | 112.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 105.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…b128backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 62c | 93.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 78c | 61.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 61c | 60.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 60.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…527abacked Yes | 21c | 56.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 50.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 72c | 42.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 47c | 38.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 38.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 43c | 36.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…4942backed No | 61c | 34.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 79c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 62c | 25.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…240cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 62c | 24.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed No | 61c | 22.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 20.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 20.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 78c | 20.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked No | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c06…224abacked No | 78c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 80c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.