Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabfaaf42935907a65b3a076f61562f926fe7771a1379c3f4e8e74a4bab162634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 1,974$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Yes | 16c | 1,126$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +326.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 1,046$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked Yes | 17c | 545$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +350.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Yes | 58c | 395.62$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 40c | 351.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 73c | 342.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 40c | 282.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.34 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Yes | 79c | 219.16$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 40c | 213.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 40c | 206.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Yes | 63c | 178.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 75c | 148.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked No | 41c | 139.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 40c | 128.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 31c | 118.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 40c | 117.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 101.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 15c | 99.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 86.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…8a24backed Yes | 58c | 86.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 12c | 82.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Yes | 40c | 78.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 56c | 71.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…fd21backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 35c | 64.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 60.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 59.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 40c | 49.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Yes | 41c | 47.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 60c | 46.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…de4bbacked Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 48c | 41.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 32c | 41.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…7af1backed Yes | 80c | 40.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 77cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 31c | 40.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…560abacked Yes | 76c | 39.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…63c4backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Yes | 73c | 34.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 70c | 28.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 54c | 26.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…2a8abacked Yes | 74c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.