Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4638ab249ca2a6803613bae998643462f112e24e46e1549c956276600da7f8a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 15c | 7,036$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.75 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Yes | 13c | 3,971$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 22c | 3,363$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.9 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 1,749$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 938.29$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 888.33$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 789.36$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 78c | 512$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 502.81$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 22c | 490.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 489$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Yes | 24c | 372.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 310.27$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Yes | 24c | 264$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 262.02$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed No | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 154.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 43c | 128.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 127.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 22c | 111.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…67c5backed Yes | 15c | 100.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 91.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 74.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 55c | 74.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Yes | 25c | 60.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 44c | 55.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 78c | 54.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 54.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ef33backed No | 77c | 54.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 24c | 48.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 48.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 23c | 44.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 41.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed No | 75c | 33.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +12.0wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 61c | 31.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 78c | 17.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…e033backed No | 60c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…d611backed No | 75c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.