TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,059 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes38c15,710$6,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,691.526230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes54c12,566$6,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,780.9517557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c8,627$4,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,540.412,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No46c7,836$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,61410246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c4,741$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.474,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2999…277dbacked Yes57c4,420$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c4,049$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.82,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No58c3,726$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.572,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes56c2,909$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.091947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes56c2,734$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.9312532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No46c2,696$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Yes55c2,494$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c1,836$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.7184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c1,644$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.781,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06516437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No71c1,486$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.0676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes55c1,220$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5495438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7006543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c788.84$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No74c675.68$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No44c658.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.956043.3%26 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No46c652.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.997048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No72c566.04$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No47c542$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.741735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes51c521.5$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.081,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22096443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No60c494.94$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No44c487.64$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.561,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes55c463.64$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6411146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes55c446.42$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8910144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No45c440$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19812549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Yes27c366.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.671643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No46c360.78$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.967247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c347.56$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.396,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No45c345.83$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6246651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes19c333$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.733161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13710168.3%69 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No16c293$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0541343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No44c258$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5227752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c253.18$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c253.07$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3580953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes55c236.64$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6411850.8%60 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No47c205.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.923345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43b…5913backed Yes55c196.36$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.361637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8997…eb15backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No44c162.38$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4559445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes48c157.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.761,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed Yes46c152$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.081838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No47c143$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.72462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Yes42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.864050%20 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c142$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.841,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No47c141$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2711430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes26c140$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.641956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes27c129.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6310939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No39c123.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.822615.4%4 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-76.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes44c122.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.738445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c118.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9557150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No16c110.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No44c109.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8529855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes52c108.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9525648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2212532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7532822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.539651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2913635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed No46c86.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.333158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.337522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c81.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes38c81.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.581947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No45c80.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No45c78.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1415255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No51c77.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.645763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No49c72.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.813360.9%81 W · 52 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No70c71.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507635.5%27 W · 49 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.517047.6%81 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb135…f5b9backed No46c69.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes39c69.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3142324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes54c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.363043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.523716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b2…dcc5backed No34c62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.831668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No44c60.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.568159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.691631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb4…db25backed Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes55c54.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.373444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No46c53.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6712558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed Yes28c52.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.552330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Yes58c52.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.121931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…5891backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514278.6%33 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes56c46.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.455540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes56c44.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.634238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked No47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.