TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 142.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd435…826ebacked Over50c116,784$58,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,001.693148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under48c30,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,5002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under49c18,888$9,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,255.1210045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under51c15,000$7,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,57578155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under49c14,160$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c14,125$7,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,023.5417643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under51c11,119$5,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,615.2323248.3%112 W · 120 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,146$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,053.5910745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2537…bff9backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04044452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c3,895$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.7312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c1,935$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.941,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c1,674$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.543627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over51c1,340$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.4112054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9927947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c708.33$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under49c618.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27642246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Under48c388.68$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under50c381.71$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8621347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c225.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6369350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under50c219$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under49c209.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9532146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c203.71$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.823,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811957.1%68 W · 51 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c185.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.81,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c178.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ce…dd2ebacked Over53c125.95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c99.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9218844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c97.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0462451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under51c96.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8641354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under48c83.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over55c72.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9794…32c9backed Under47c65.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Under49c62.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe43c…ccd5backed Under47c60.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.551154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Under49c51.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519445.9%89 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2334952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under50c45.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.913852.2%72 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.427350.5%138 W · 135 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…515fbacked Over52c38.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.282653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Over52c37.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8613651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over52c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x170f…790bbacked Under51c24.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51989.5%17 W · 2 L+6.8wins+0.36per pick54cpaid+68.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf4bb…15eebacked Under49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.