Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. UIC Flames: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a2f3e739bbdaaf61cb7624e1537e94a6da4160809858d7d61a8f09b0b8fa74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 44,792$23,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,740.02 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 18,353$8,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840.66 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 47c | 11,059$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,861.17 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 54c | 8,051$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.24 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 4,374$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.45 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 4,073$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 2,357$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 54c | 1,955$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.64 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 732.63$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.62 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 55c | 546.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.35 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 225.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 209.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Over | 54c | 184.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Under | 46c | 129.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 46c | 55.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 54c | 48.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Over | 54c | 36.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 47c | 26.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 25.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Over | 54c | 20.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…0dd7backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. UIC Flames: O/U 150.5this page
- Belmont Bruins vs. UIC FlamesBelmont Bruins won
- Spread: Belmont Bruins (-3.5)Belmont Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.