Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b8eaa1846d7bcc2bb694516b59da19bdd586ae81cc255e0fcb1e62d9d23a801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Under | 52c | 123,619$63,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,731 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.64 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 49c | 14,398$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.72 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.9 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 49c | 11,094$5,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.1 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 9,080$4,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.8 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,066$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 4,500$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.91 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 2,328$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 2,120$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.79 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 830.51$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.56 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 47c | 706$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.18 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 500$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 275$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 266.03$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Over | 48c | 222$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 49c | 209.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 164.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 54c | 153.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 47c | 145$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 112.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 92.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Over | 49c | 60.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 48c | 39.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints: O/U 140.5this page
- Iona Gaels vs. Siena SaintsSiena Saints won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-7.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.