Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e38eda18ad876bd0c6c2062e3e1a2fe10bb2fd888d80f2f1011f4ab5315e09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Iona Gaels, Siena Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e50…bcccbacked Iona Gaels | 25c | 65,500$16,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,375 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…c55fbacked Siena Saints | 75c | 65,254$48,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,313.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…4e30backed Iona Gaels | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…014dbacked Siena Saints | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…1234backed Siena Saints | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…95bebacked Iona Gaels | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Iona Gaels | 24c | 1,830$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Siena Saints | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Siena Saints | 77c | 1,475$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.77 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Iona Gaels | 22c | 1,201$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.21 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Siena Saints | 78c | 1,180$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 76c | 1,035$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Iona Gaels | 25c | 652.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Iona Gaels | 38c | 575$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.29 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iona Gaels | 45c | 566.79$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.38 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 23c | 521.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Siena Saints | 66c | 434.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed Siena Saints | 72c | 421.78$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Iona Gaels | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Iona Gaels | 29c | 373.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Siena Saints | 56c | 372.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed Siena Saints | 78c | 275.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Iona Gaels | 31c | 257.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Iona Gaels | 26c | 223.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Siena Saints | 67c | 220.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Siena Saints | 59c | 168.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iona Gaels | 45c | 141.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iona Gaels | 21c | 138.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…ced6backed Siena Saints | 69c | 136.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iona Gaels | 24c | 116.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Iona Gaels | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Siena Saints | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Siena Saints | 62c | 97.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Iona Gaels | 45c | 96.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Iona Gaels | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Iona Gaels | 26c | 77.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Iona Gaels | 43c | 70.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Siena Saints | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Siena Saints | 70c | 63.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Iona Gaels | 46c | 59.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Iona Gaels | 32c | 55.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iona Gaels | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Iona Gaels | 24c | 54.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Iona Gaels | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Iona Gaels | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Siena Saints | 49c | 47.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iona Gaels | 40c | 46.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Iona Gaels | 24c | 46.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Siena Saints | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Iona Gaels | 36c | 44.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Iona Gaels | 29c | 42.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Iona Gaels | 37c | 40.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Siena Saints | 72c | 36.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Siena Saints | 75c | 32.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…abb4backed Siena Saints | 79c | 30.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Siena Saints | 54c | 30.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Siena Saints | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Siena Saints | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…7ebdbacked Siena Saints | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked Siena Saints | 67c | 29.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Iona Gaels | 54c | 26.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…17babacked Siena Saints | 78c | 25.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…5baebacked Siena Saints | 78c | 21.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Siena Saints | 59c | 20.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Siena Saints | 67c | 17.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…43abbacked Siena Saints | 75c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Siena Saints | 77c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Siena Saints | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Siena Saints | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saintsthis page
- Iona Gaels vs. Siena Saints: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-7.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.