Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f321ba652b9aca3402d653a13cfcb942d2017de23c9d14c31b1c2612d8d1c78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Under | 50c | 132,799$66,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,072.47 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 50c | 30,000$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,900 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 50c | 27,836$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 27,500$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 50c | 20,370$10,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,185.18 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 16,660$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,330 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 6,296$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.96 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…8255backed Over | 50c | 6,120$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 5,793$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.47 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,016$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,578$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 1,926$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.77 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.93 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 50c | 847.38$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.69 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 48c | 693.82$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.03 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Under | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 450.7$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.35 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 412.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 49c | 391.84$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 49c | 279.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3fb7backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 51c | 245.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 49c | 157.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 51c | 97.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 93.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 50c | 79.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 65.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 50c | 60.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 73c | 46.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…13cdbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Under | 50c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 50c | 38.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 50c | 38.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Under | 50c | 29.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigers: O/U 145.5this page
- Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State TigersTennessee State Tigers won
- Spread: Tennessee State Tigers (-9.5)Eastern Illinois Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.