Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Albany Great Danes vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d5cae0fd27b812b32d97aaee23b8e392bbc2f869d8b9050bc016a591316176c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Under | 51c | 110,234$55,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,552.82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 30,000$14,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,850 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 50c | 22,204$10,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,991.82 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 20,313$10,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.16 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 18,754$9,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,266.64 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 50c | 18,015$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.99 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 48c | 6,248$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 5,034$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.97 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.05 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 2,840$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.74 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 2,608$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.55 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 2,574$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.83 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…461fbacked Over | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 51c | 1,971$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.74 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 1,263$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 969.02$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Over | 50c | 900.74$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Over | 47c | 875.37$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 47c | 420$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Over | 47c | 396$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 372.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 337.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 47c | 319.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 54c | 313.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 47c | 238.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 203.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 184.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 53c | 173.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 111.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 47c | 106.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 46c | 97.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…234cbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 47c | 71.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 55c | 61.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 48c | 60.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 48c | 33.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 24.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Over | 49c | 24.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…664dbacked Over | 51c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…a366backed Over | 47c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albany Great Danes vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 134.5this page
- Albany Great Danes vs. Bryant BulldogsAlbany Great Danes won
- Albany Great Danes vs. Bryant Bulldogs: O/U 133.5Under won
- Spread: Albany Great Danes (-1.5)Albany Great Danes won
- Spread: Bryant Bulldogs (-1.5)Albany Great Danes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.