Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas City Roos vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06c7534506af01cddde1b49367851dfdf1c982f6955b2aeb271d3b63f2fd2b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 55c | 70,619$38,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,966.86 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 45c | 33,000$14,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,150 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 45c | 21,214$9,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,667.85 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 44c | 4,091$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.91 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 2,557$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 1,887$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.85 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,577$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 575.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.56 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 45c | 495$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 45c | 461.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.09 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 255.03$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.82 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 44c | 203.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 44c | 165$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 45c | 111.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 43c | 110.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 109.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 78.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 54c | 64.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Over | 45c | 54.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Under | 45c | 38.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 61c | 27.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 21.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Roos vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5this page
- Kansas City Roos vs. Oral Roberts Golden EaglesOral Roberts Golden Eagles won
- Kansas City Roos vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 147.5Under won
- Kansas City Roos vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (-5.5)Oral Roberts Golden Eagles won
- Spread: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (-6.5)Oral Roberts Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.