Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa762f17d601174b2136029599b6275bdc67ef171dd31699ebd673c9268f54e06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 52c | 112,963$58,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,594.86 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 21,000$9,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,970 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.36 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 49c | 18,491$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,060.36 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…8255backed Under | 49c | 5,969$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 5,911$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852.16 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 4,214$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.93 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 2,745$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked Over | 4c | 2,400$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +574.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,812$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.35 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 49c | 1,458$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.42 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 994.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 53c | 635.71$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 49c | 611.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Over | 5c | 550$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.67per pick | 8cpaid | +796.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 528$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 450.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.85 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 49c | 424$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.24 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked Over | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 375.02$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 350.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 48c | 349.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 50c | 344.55$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 265.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 211.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 121.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 92.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 48c | 61.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Under | 51c | 61.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3fb7backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Over | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5this page
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook SeawolvesMonmouth Hawks won
- Spread: Stony Brook Seawolves (-3.5)Monmouth Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.