Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8320a9e2d532eebd317b2dd8f629d1325aa5cdb329067ad7e497ab8cae20414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof Monmouth Hawks, Stony Brook Seawolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 58c | 6,535$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.98 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monmouth Hawks | 42c | 5,135$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 2,092$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.81 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 49c | 1,161$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.61 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 11c | 999.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monmouth Hawks | 42c | 856.26$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Monmouth Hawks | 45c | 771.27$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.77 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Monmouth Hawks | 79c | 670$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Monmouth Hawks | 43c | 615.12$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.62 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Monmouth Hawks | 70c | 590.1$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 51c | 582.88$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.43 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 17c | 499.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 59c | 464$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Monmouth Hawks | 43c | 449.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.49 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 24c | 447.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 25c | 410.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 51c | 368.76$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.17 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 10c | 253$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Monmouth Hawks | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Monmouth Hawks | 41c | 203$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 30c | 199.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Monmouth Hawks | 56c | 189.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 52c | 187.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 58c | 178.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 52c | 170.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 57c | 151.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 17c | 130.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Monmouth Hawks | 77c | 128.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Monmouth Hawks | 77c | 118.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 13c | 105.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Monmouth Hawks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 24c | 87.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Monmouth Hawks | 45c | 87.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 44c | 52.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monmouth Hawks | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 48c | 43.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 45c | 39.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Monmouth Hawks | 40c | 33.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Monmouth Hawks | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 38c | 27.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 26.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 62c | 25.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 59c | 21.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 57c | 20.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Monmouth Hawks | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c25…87c0backed Monmouth Hawks | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monmouth Hawks | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesthis page
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Stony Brook Seawolves (-3.5)Monmouth Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.