Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb770164a5b742f86b3976acf69d6f1676eacab7395ce79a8ff4cc488326e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 63,739$31,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,080.78 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 28,000$14,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,441.05 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 52c | 18,200$9,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,735.95 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 14,853$7,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,564.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 51c | 4,291$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.17 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.31 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.43 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 799.93$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 559.42$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.23 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 391.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 345$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 233.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 50c | 165.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 116.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 52c | 115.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 48c | 115$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 81.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 55c | 29.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 50c | 20.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 153.5this page
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Cleveland State VikingsRobert Morris Colonials won
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-3.5)Robert Morris Colonials won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.