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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Robert Morris Colonials vs. Cleveland State Vikings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Robert Morris Colonialsof Robert Morris Colonials, Cleveland State Vikings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Robert Morris Colonials80c1,878$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.94,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland State Vikings27c1,794$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.73,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland State Vikings44c1,702$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7455,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Robert Morris Colonials64c1,050$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Robert Morris Colonials58c767$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.2439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Cleveland State Vikings36c499.17$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Cleveland State Vikings13c428.72$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0825239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Robert Morris Colonials64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.59771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Cleveland State Vikings40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cleveland State Vikings38c263.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.274,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Robert Morris Colonials62c260.95$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.451,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Cleveland State Vikings43c250.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Robert Morris Colonials60c250.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Robert Morris Colonials60c206$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.811,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cleveland State Vikings40c199.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Robert Morris Colonials54c181$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.261,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland State Vikings34c173.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7425337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Cleveland State Vikings38c163.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland State Vikings39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Cleveland State Vikings38c146.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Robert Morris Colonials62c139.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.172,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland State Vikings17c137$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.561,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland State Vikings29c128.87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.791,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Robert Morris Colonials59c116.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.123,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Robert Morris Colonials62c107.9$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.391,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Robert Morris Colonials61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3921449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Robert Morris Colonials76c83.16$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Robert Morris Colonials54c80.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.691,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cleveland State Vikings41c79.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.541,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Robert Morris Colonials59c76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.161,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland State Vikings37c71.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.125,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cleveland State Vikings30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Cleveland State Vikings38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Cleveland State Vikings28c51.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Cleveland State Vikings41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Robert Morris Colonials61c46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.943756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked Cleveland State Vikings33c44.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.758347%39 W · 44 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Cleveland State Vikings41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.42147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Robert Morris Colonials64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Cleveland State Vikings39c36.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1817241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee26…3798backed Robert Morris Colonials64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Robert Morris Colonials56c29.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Cleveland State Vikings38c27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.264626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Robert Morris Colonials62c22.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.372,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a20…fc0abacked Robert Morris Colonials68c20.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.631172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Robert Morris Colonials64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Robert Morris Colonials71c14.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1414171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.