South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a53fd44e8859cb128ff9bf6a57fb0b7325c6f201a03046092e924fa21fbddf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 3,589$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 65c | 2,882$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.08 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 1,980$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 60c | 1,145$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.6 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 59c | 699.63$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.78 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 27c | 622.72$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.69 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 67c | 597.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 67c | 593.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 483.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 444.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.82 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 70c | 314.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 253.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 36c | 192.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 64c | 192.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 69c | 171.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Yes | 71c | 130$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 34c | 121.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 70c | 91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked No | 29c | 89.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 73c | 73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 31c | 65.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 73c | 59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Yes | 72c | 55.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 50.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 29c | 47.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 28c | 46.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 48c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked No | 30c | 39.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 52c | 38.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 73c | 36.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…857dbacked Yes | 71c | 35.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…822ebacked Yes | 70c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Yes | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…4434backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 48c | 24.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…409ebacked Yes | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 69c | 22.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Yes | 74c | 21.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…72acbacked Yes | 73c | 21.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…098ebacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 76c | 19.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6831…08b7backed Yes | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…3d75backed Yes | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…7941backed Yes | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…fd9fbacked Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…0e17backed Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 72c | 16.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 72c | 15.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4186backed Yes | 73c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will CS 2 de Mayo win on 2026-02-11?No won
- Will Club Alianza Lima vs. CS 2 de Mayo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.