Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74996559e0cfe42c0af063ad96d016c6473c71223ad7b2a742f851faaaaaf94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 15c | 11,726$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.89 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 7,353$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.06 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 6,942$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.03 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 1c | 3,109$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 14c | 3,031$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.07 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 14c | 2,535$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.89 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 15c | 2,400$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 12c | 2,377$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.42 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 13c | 2,277$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.22 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 2,137$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 17c | 1,577$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.81 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 15c | 1,350$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 15c | 723.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 13c | 700$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed No | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 14c | 573.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 20c | 527.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 23c | 527$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 13c | 497$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked No | 16c | 444.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked No | 10c | 389.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 13c | 365.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 9c | 265.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 9c | 225.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 14c | 214.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 16c | 196.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 15c | 175.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked No | 15c | 166.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 16c | 149.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 78c | 142.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…d6bcbacked No | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…9dd7backed No | 16c | 130.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked No | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 15c | 79.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked No | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3843backed Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…710dbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…4e3ebacked Yes | 74c | 20.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-05?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-02-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.