TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
illwillof Betclic Apogee Esports, illwill
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe8…3549backed illwill58c30,721$17,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,806.5413954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c19,174$7,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,938.538749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed illwill59c7,500$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.9835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c4,829$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.2920539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Betclic Apogee Esports40c4,382$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.863,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c2,799$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.5850833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Betclic Apogee Esports43c1,641$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.6310445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed illwill58c1,330$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.684658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Betclic Apogee Esports42c1,108$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3411543.5%50 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c1,103$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.0916750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked illwill57c1,062$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.749753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports44c939.99$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.619043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked illwill58c861.22$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.224951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69a0…6e5ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c706.42$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3c…3293backed illwill55c691.2$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.941450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c98…9000backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c672$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed illwill56c647.85$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4526743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Betclic Apogee Esports4c645.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20597230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed illwill58c497.22$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8328549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Betclic Apogee Esports42c441.2$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5354032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked illwill56c410.71$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.719352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Betclic Apogee Esports28c404.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.410053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Betclic Apogee Esports43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed illwill54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18416450.6%83 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c369$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2116349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill68c350$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.047,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c340.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6315442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed illwill59c339.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.341457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed illwill59c313.45$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.455952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.454348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c270$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.75042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2922…30f1backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c265$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Betclic Apogee Esports43c259.92$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5631735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c252.77$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10313246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c250$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6517745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked illwill56c239.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4370038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Betclic Apogee Esports44c232.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0713937.4%52 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c225$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.53348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a0…20a1backed illwill57c215.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Betclic Apogee Esports33c214.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.346,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…1b08backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c202.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c199.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31bd…a59bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports41c180.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Betclic Apogee Esports38c177.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.791,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked illwill58c166.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+158.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf33…3773backed illwill56c162.58$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports48c156.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa918…8d4bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda15…bc9abacked Betclic Apogee Esports49c140.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed Betclic Apogee Esports47c136.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.997345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Betclic Apogee Esports43c127.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed illwill60c126.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f2e…2794backed Betclic Apogee Esports42c120.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.831127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports44c118$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.92812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick51cpaid-76%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa100…60e1backed Betclic Apogee Esports51c115.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1813737.2%51 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed Betclic Apogee Esports47c114.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.352630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45db…8f65backed Betclic Apogee Esports45c110.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Betclic Apogee Esports43c104.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe9…987ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c102.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.051650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Betclic Apogee Esports41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4143640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9926553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x575f…7febbacked Betclic Apogee Esports41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5144…7941backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4233539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c90$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.425337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed illwill60c88.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.451181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa17e…7584backed illwill70c85.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.285563.6%35 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked illwill59c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.441,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Betclic Apogee Esports49c83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4511650%58 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef65…a496backed Betclic Apogee Esports40c79.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.995433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f0…0852backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c79.59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…7c59backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c75.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed illwill59c73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9373854.5%402 W · 336 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed illwill58c71.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.911353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Betclic Apogee Esports42c71.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed illwill58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9713445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc9c…ff27backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c67.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed illwill60c63.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4661054.6%333 W · 277 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb9…2b21backed Betclic Apogee Esports48c62.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b14…13dcbacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed illwill60c57.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.174,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1177…2e11backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c55.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.582839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed illwill62c53.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3316345.4%74 W · 89 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Betclic Apogee Esports49c51.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2195642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed illwill60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017944.1%79 W · 100 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Betclic Apogee Esports43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.524850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.53920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9c…2b3ebacked Betclic Apogee Esports42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed Betclic Apogee Esports48c41.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.096950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed illwill60c40.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.183850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.211051.8%57 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed illwill49c39.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2096740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x857a…bcbbbacked Betclic Apogee Esports41c39.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccdd…0429backed Betclic Apogee Esports42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1786…6974backed Betclic Apogee Esports45c35.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.862334.8%8 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.