TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccdd…0429

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 61 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick36cpaid+59.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.49
Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: 1win vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+203%+$30.45
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+123%+$18.44
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+119.7%+$17.95
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs strongboys (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked strongboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+223.9%+$33.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+161%+$32.2
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Voca (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+130.6%+$19.59
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104%+$15.6
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: ZYB Esport vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked ZYB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Lille Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Lille Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+83.9%+$16.78
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Groupbacked Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.54
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+37%+$5.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+614.3%+$122.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+222.6%+$66.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.