CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c311eb36f0188196e288baae0a423d2b3dbc0325ea274023afadfaec060941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed RED Canids | 78c | 21,500$16,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.08 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 6,492$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 5,491$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 4,999$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.77 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…8207backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 3,700$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26b…b267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 3,200$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 21c | 2,785$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.61 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed RED Canids | 78c | 2,600$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…2289backed RED Canids | 77c | 1,900$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 1,532$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.07 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…4fdbbacked RED Canids | 77c | 1,207$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 1,200$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 1,111$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…6dfbbacked RED Canids | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 24c | 852.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…bddebacked RED Canids | 78c | 799$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…2a37backed RED Canids | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…1ff8backed RED Canids | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 499$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 494.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…1d52backed RED Canids | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…180bbacked RED Canids | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 292.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed RED Canids | 78c | 267.9$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked RED Canids | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 156.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…77e0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…290fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…3b00backed RED Canids | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…0429backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed RED Canids | 80c | 82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d3…7e1bbacked RED Canids | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 78.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…7e8abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 58.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked RED Canids | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked RED Canids | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…fe36backed RED Canids | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…3d82backed RED Canids | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed RED Canids | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…f9fabacked RED Canids | 78c | 25.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…007bbacked RED Canids | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…fad1backed RED Canids | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.