CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f0b296dfb143a1fa84ffae8d765dd29bba7f975b8a85e4e828c0781b032ec5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 2,788$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.34 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 74c | 752.74$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed RED Canids | 77c | 609.33$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…b6bdbacked RED Canids | 74c | 560.64$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed RED Canids | 74c | 191$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed RED Canids | 74c | 121$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked RED Canids | 74c | 43.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed RED Canids | 74c | 25.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Ace South American Masters PlayoffsRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.