CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335e35ae5b3fd8088143580d74ad9ebe90b6ad23e97901310d80ea1d51365a87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed M80 | 76c | 37,664$28,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,216.06 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wildcard | 24c | 24,076$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778.3 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wildcard | 1c | 9,899$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wildcard | 25c | 5,632$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Wildcard | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Wildcard | 25c | 3,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed M80 | 76c | 2,334$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.21 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Wildcard | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed M80 | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed M80 | 77c | 1,022$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.13 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Wildcard | 25c | 992.67$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.17 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Wildcard | 25c | 812$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Wildcard | 23c | 799.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed M80 | 75c | 720.16$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.04 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked M80 | 76c | 665.55$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Wildcard | 9c | 458.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed M80 | 76c | 393.58$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Wildcard | 25c | 255.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wildcard | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Wildcard | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Wildcard | 24c | 239.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Wildcard | 17c | 222.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked M80 | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Wildcard | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8e…f256backed Wildcard | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Wildcard | 25c | 177.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wildcard | 15c | 176.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Wildcard | 24c | 157.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Wildcard | 35c | 108.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed M80 | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked Wildcard | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…519dbacked M80 | 77c | 99.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Wildcard | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…0429backed Wildcard | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wildcard | 13c | 79.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wildcard | 25c | 72.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Wildcard | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…4f2abacked Wildcard | 25c | 62.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wildcard | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Wildcard | 25c | 57.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Wildcard | 25c | 52.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed M80 | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked M80 | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Wildcard | 25c | 46.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…fc91backed Wildcard | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…68c7backed Wildcard | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed M80 | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0cf5backed Wildcard | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked M80 | 70c | 35.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed M80 | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed M80 | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked M80 | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed M80 | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…007bbacked M80 | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…fad1backed M80 | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed M80 | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.