NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5920ff69ceba11f87610437f601400373e12a214b2e84afc34e929bb2dfaa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mavericks | 22c | 39,731$8,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,867.78 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks | 19c | 14,499$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 21c | 8,891$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.8 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Mavericks | 1c | 8,797$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Cavaliers | 74c | 8,297$6,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.78 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks | 28c | 6,673$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.8 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 72c | 6,215$4,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.28 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 28c | 5,356$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.66 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Mavericks | 21c | 4,861$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 74c | 4,500$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.38 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 9c | 4,408$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.62 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Cavaliers | 77c | 4,000$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…4118backed Cavaliers | 80c | 3,822$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 12c | 3,500$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.5 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks | 10c | 3,339$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.45 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks | 0c | 3,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks | 26c | 2,692$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.99 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Cavaliers | 71c | 2,421$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.94 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Cavaliers | 78c | 2,133$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.84 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…81e1backed Mavericks | 0c | 2,122$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,972$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.99 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Mavericks | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 15c | 1,475$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Mavericks | 7c | 1,245$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 1,244$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Mavericks | 2c | 1,200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Mavericks | 25c | 1,200$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.08 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Cavaliers | 72c | 1,187$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.09 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 78c | 1,140$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.33 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks | 26c | 1,100$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,016$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,000$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.15 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 22c | 1,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Cavaliers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…929cbacked Mavericks | 27c | 999.83$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Cavaliers | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Mavericks | 28c | 941.94$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.39 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 22c | 941.72$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mavericks | 11c | 926.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 30c | 923.03$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Mavericks | 25c | 900$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Mavericks | 27c | 873.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.39 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Cavaliers | 70c | 869.17$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.71 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 21c | 849.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 28c | 782$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers | 73c | 723.9$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.45 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Mavericks | 26c | 685$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Cavaliers | 73c | 678.67$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.24 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Mavericks | 28c | 676$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 26c | 654.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 26c | 629.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Mavericks | 26c | 613$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Mavericks | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mavericks | 27c | 595.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Mavericks | 26c | 555$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f12…2a77backed Mavericks | 29c | 537.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 531.51$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…736abacked Mavericks | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 525.75$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Mavericks | 28c | 505.58$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Mavericks | 21c | 502.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…54f4backed Cavaliers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…9313backed Mavericks | 17c | 500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…e512backed Cavaliers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Mavericks | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Cavaliers | 72c | 499.84$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 26c | 490$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…2255backed Mavericks | 27c | 472.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Mavericks | 18c | 453.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Mavericks | 28c | 443$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…0561backed Cavaliers | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Mavericks | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Mavericks | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…8b38backed Mavericks | 21c | 389.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…e741backed Cavaliers | 77c | 379.9$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Mavericks | 27c | 357$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…7d49backed Cavaliers | 73c | 356.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Mavericks | 15c | 355.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc206…e084backed Cavaliers | 79c | 350.59$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Cavaliers | 73c | 343$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…1669backed Cavaliers | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…93ddbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 328.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Mavericks | 25c | 320.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Mavericks | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Cavaliers | 75c | 295.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Mavericks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.