Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bc3b5440d46fa0829fbe529b3e8511aedb1aa6c1e490ad0b8d7d14c5c6c0cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX | 19c | 4,000$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.91 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed REKONIX | 21c | 3,396$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.28 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked REKONIX | 25c | 2,798$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.14 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 2,534$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.41 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked REKONIX | 16c | 2,054$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed REKONIX | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked REKONIX | 15c | 1,313$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,117$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed REKONIX | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed REKONIX | 18c | 1,031$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed REKONIX | 23c | 949.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 11c | 851.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 80c | 847.2$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked REKONIX | 13c | 786.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked REKONIX | 18c | 721.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…f8fbbacked REKONIX | 18c | 711.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…2511backed REKONIX | 15c | 653.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 650.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed REKONIX | 16c | 641.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed REKONIX | 17c | 500.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked REKONIX | 14c | 493.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX | 21c | 466.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 456.62$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed REKONIX | 23c | 435.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed REKONIX | 17c | 430.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed REKONIX | 14c | 422.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed REKONIX | 17c | 410.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed REKONIX | 16c | 372.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked REKONIX | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 308.76$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed REKONIX | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed REKONIX | 19c | 212.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed REKONIX | 22c | 200.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 154 | 65.6%101 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed REKONIX | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed REKONIX | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked REKONIX | 21c | 189.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked REKONIX | 20c | 170.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 12c | 160.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed REKONIX | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed REKONIX | 19c | 151.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed REKONIX | 15c | 133.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Falcons | 78c | 128.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed REKONIX | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…974abacked REKONIX | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…2794backed REKONIX | 18c | 107.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed REKONIX | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked REKONIX | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…5e83backed REKONIX | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa420…35bbbacked REKONIX | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked REKONIX | 18c | 99.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked REKONIX | 15c | 93.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked REKONIX | 19c | 89.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed REKONIX | 18c | 89.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…17c7backed REKONIX | 19c | 80.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…0429backed REKONIX | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed REKONIX | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons | 78c | 74.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX | 21c | 72.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed REKONIX | 22c | 68.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked REKONIX | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked REKONIX | 18c | 61.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Falcons | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed REKONIX | 19c | 59.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Team Falcons | 79c | 50.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed REKONIX | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked REKONIX | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…a2b3backed Team Falcons | 79c | 38.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 36.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…fdfcbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.