Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729522fea569009546006b40ad253948400d6297bccf527734493fdfa7e4553a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 17,678$11,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,362.44 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb197…91c6backed Yes | 76c | 4,583$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 34c | 4,500$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 49c | 3,518$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.1 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 3,093$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.66 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 2,316$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.41 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 25c | 1,650$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.01 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 33c | 1,329$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.43 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 27c | 1,263$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.59 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 39c | 1,253$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 1,214$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.34 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,195$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.5 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 28c | 1,185$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 1,044$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.17 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 767.42$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.68 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed No | 66c | 750$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 21c | 749.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 402.85$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 375$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 11c | 364.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 42c | 342.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 34c | 342$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.89 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 25c | 310$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 65c | 285.71$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 246.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 31c | 238.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 28c | 224.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Yes | 31c | 183.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 182.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 12c | 160.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 23c | 152.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 34c | 143.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 33c | 140.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 65c | 131.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 36c | 131.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 33c | 130.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 32c | 125.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 34c | 90.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 66c | 83.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 69.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed No | 67c | 64.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 58.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 32c | 57.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 45.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 34c | 44.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 78c | 40.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…0a97backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…07b8backed Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Yes | 77c | 32.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 34c | 32.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 34c | 29.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 28.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…dc1bbacked No | 67c | 20.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…c178backed Yes | 79c | 20.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 57c | 19.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 58c | 19.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…0429backed No | 59c | 16.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.