Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x678a09a3ae92bc37067bef967220608b71d74765b4adf795e4aa62eae139e21a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 74c | 8,000$5,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 4,076$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.12 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,536$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.64 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 1,480$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 605.22$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 26c | 522.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Yes | 2c | 521.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 26c | 389.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 209.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 162.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 10c | 161.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 158$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 157.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 10c | 124.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…b066backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 111.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…07b8backed Yes | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…f8e1backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 74c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.