Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd650a11fa160569d6cae76cf177141c386ef333c9621c827d492db591b8272ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 43c | 9,999$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 3,715$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.98 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 59c | 3,035$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,464$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 1,244$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 41c | 975.89$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.86 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 856.46$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.68 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…00fcbacked Yes | 45c | 716.72$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 640$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.4 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed No | 65c | 610$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 577.76$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.55 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 17c | 470.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 5c | 449.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 39c | 340.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 60c | 320$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 44c | 276.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 39c | 260.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…5a90backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 49c | 182.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 46c | 148.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 133.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 41c | 122.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 60c | 117.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 42c | 107.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…832dbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…5476backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed No | 59c | 75.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 44c | 66.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 58c | 65.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 41c | 53.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 47c | 45.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 44.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 44.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed Yes | 41c | 39.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 34.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…07b8backed Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 25.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 59c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Yes | 53c | 22.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.