Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4792728aac7a4a96c37c96861aea33cdf7020eaf630eb04986f26afb60d147c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0d4…e0b1backed Zero Tenacity | 1c | 20,407$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 11,219$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.24 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 7,856$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.94 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Aurora | 68c | 7,409$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.51 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora | 61c | 4,981$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.61 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Zero Tenacity | 5c | 4,923$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…154dbacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 4,916$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 4,501$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.1 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Aurora | 80c | 4,192$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.09 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 2,901$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.31 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Aurora | 66c | 2,504$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.83 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 1,645$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Aurora | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Aurora | 69c | 1,454$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.33 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 60c | 1,302$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.24 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 68c | 1,183$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.95 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…a9c3backed Aurora | 77c | 1,179$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Zero Tenacity | 20c | 1,178$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.68 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 1,105$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zero Tenacity | 12c | 1,037$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 1,002$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Zero Tenacity | 24c | 1,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Zero Tenacity | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba5…9d01backed Zero Tenacity | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Aurora | 67c | 897.65$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Aurora | 61c | 858$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Aurora | 61c | 837.32$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.17 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 742.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…0677backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 734.83$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Zero Tenacity | 10c | 728.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 685.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.57 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 660.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Aurora | 67c | 642.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.76 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 8c | 629.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 60c | 588.18$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Zero Tenacity | 17c | 584.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…9a99backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 583.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 549.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 469.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 455.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Aurora | 68c | 451.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 65c | 444.54$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Aurora | 70c | 431.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 427$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 425.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 420$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 399.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 394.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 392.17$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…1ae6backed Aurora | 70c | 386.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 384.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…bebfbacked Zero Tenacity | 13c | 340$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Aurora | 59c | 333.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 69c | 330.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Aurora | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…41c9backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 317.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Aurora | 72c | 304.52$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 275.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Zero Tenacity | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Zero Tenacity | 16c | 256.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 244.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Aurora | 79c | 238.1$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora | 77c | 226.66$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 212.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf91…3041backed Aurora | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 70c | 204.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 202.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 187.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…63c3backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 178.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 177.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…57d3backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 176.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 171.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora | 68c | 157.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…77e0backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 145.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 145$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 144.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 63c | 133.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 131.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 130.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 129.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3b…0114backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 129.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 127.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Aurora | 70c | 121.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…63c0backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 120.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 117.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Zero Tenacity | 18c | 116.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Zero Tenacity | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c4…3751backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…aaf5backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Aurora | 62c | 106.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Aurora | 80c | 106.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 106.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.