TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof NIP, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$498,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed NIP57c103,984$59,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,763.857943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed NIP56c33,996$18,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,097.9941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Passion UA49c33,690$16,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,562.6983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Passion UA44c33,315$14,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,658.5439249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Passion UA45c25,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.8967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Passion UA42c23,810$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Passion UA44c23,166$10,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,083.773,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Passion UA28c17,804$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.0427133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf69…9076backed NIP56c15,625$8,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,919.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked NIP37c14,942$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,387.1224440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x334e…26f1backed NIP60c12,041$7,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,875.762661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Passion UA47c10,179$4,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,825.5359839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed NIP58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9716449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked NIP51c9,717$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.443351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Passion UA62c5,808$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed NIP55c5,584$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Passion UA41c5,296$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.1872453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed NIP56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked NIP62c4,663$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.497736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x022a…351dbacked NIP61c3,713$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Passion UA52c3,644$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.132548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked NIP51c3,388$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.2481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Passion UA43c3,299$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.619442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed Passion UA65c3,246$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.7613954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Passion UA42c3,105$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.0224846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Passion UA15c3,009$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.1361837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb3…02bfbacked NIP42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7401353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1953…f310backed Passion UA42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.98933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Passion UA44c2,939$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.035853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Passion UA29c2,800$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.1832930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Passion UA45c2,652$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.4811631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed NIP59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.3761338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Passion UA30c2,533$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.657,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed NIP62c2,409$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.691346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Passion UA42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA29c2,368$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.763,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed NIP52c2,148$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.123245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Passion UA65c2,114$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.0912653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA47c1,980$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9351,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed NIP53c1,958$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.2619455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA36c1,889$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.9881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Passion UA41c1,885$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.7257647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Passion UA42c1,786$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP59c1,782$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.2484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Passion UA50c1,770$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88232653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Passion UA39c1,696$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.222,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked NIP39c1,693$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.411630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked NIP57c1,684$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2120539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed NIP73c1,664$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Passion UA16c1,643$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.461,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Passion UA19c1,574$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.177935.4%28 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64546949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Passion UA31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4651,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Passion UA57c1,500$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.655236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed NIP62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57013043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Passion UA42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed NIP37c1,402$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.5146340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Passion UA42c1,400$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58250833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Passion UA44c1,373$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60055043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Passion UA49c1,339$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.2896545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Passion UA42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Passion UA42c1,188$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9612651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NIP54c1,156$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8410551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed NIP35c1,149$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.5778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NIP58c1,135$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1760848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed Passion UA44c1,131$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked NIP64c1,095$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.213154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed Passion UA39c1,090$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42011937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed NIP57c1,025$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.645841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Passion UA41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb55f…5705backed Passion UA4c950.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6605%3 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NIP52c949.85$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.811,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Passion UA44c897.34$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8258961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Passion UA35c878.36$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6129128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed NIP59c877.97$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9726251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Passion UA30c875.07$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.038416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…5e03backed Passion UA44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.5wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Passion UA25c799.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Passion UA43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30150043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Passion UA51c652.2$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Passion UA44c650$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4696…e741backed Passion UA46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2995644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7abc…9ff7backed NIP63c638.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.452045%9 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked NIP56c603.57$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5765650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Passion UA42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99a…e9fbbacked Passion UA44c590.91$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d84…3c31backed NIP61c589.27$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.265062%31 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed NIP72c583.21$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.317761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed NIP56c573.97$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.768551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b0…2aaebacked Passion UA43c573.92$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.045451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked NIP52c572.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1116649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Passion UA30c555.56$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.342,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NIP57c541.97$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.541,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Passion UA50c535.7$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.857041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked NIP57c535.51$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.272445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8d…3427backed Passion UA43c513$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Passion UA43c505.77$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Passion UA64c504.76$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0915749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed NIP35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32513030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Passion UA46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.