CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4384d48b24e7a06bcaca696acf2dc7adccf06848e4d4dacb6d926008d88c9add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof NIP, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked NIP | 42c | 3,350$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.81 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 44c | 2,982$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Passion UA | 47c | 2,758$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.85 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed NIP | 44c | 2,215$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 22c | 2,214$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.32 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NIP | 15c | 2,062$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 47c | 2,045$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.98 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Passion UA | 52c | 2,033$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.06 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Passion UA | 62c | 2,017$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Passion UA | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Passion UA | 53c | 1,899$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.6 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…26f1backed Passion UA | 55c | 1,806$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.96 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 36c | 1,406$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.02 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 54c | 1,295$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed NIP | 10c | 1,289$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Passion UA | 48c | 838.52$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.33 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NIP | 62c | 774.19$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Passion UA | 69c | 760.73$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed NIP | 38c | 746.81$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Passion UA | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…f197backed NIP | 16c | 608.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Passion UA | 53c | 500.92$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.43 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Passion UA | 41c | 483.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.62 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Passion UA | 79c | 463.06$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed NIP | 34c | 454.29$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…55d2backed Passion UA | 76c | 419.57$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed NIP | 17c | 412.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed NIP | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed NIP | 3c | 361.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Passion UA | 53c | 339.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed NIP | 49c | 321.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.73 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Passion UA | 61c | 297.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 56c | 253.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA | 57c | 234.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked NIP | 56c | 227.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Passion UA | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Passion UA | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked NIP | 52c | 193.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Passion UA | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked NIP | 52c | 180.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Passion UA | 69c | 175.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…1e2cbacked Passion UA | 48c | 163.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed NIP | 55c | 160.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed NIP | 41c | 131.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed NIP | 56c | 123.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed NIP | 51c | 118.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Passion UA | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed NIP | 52c | 88.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NIP | 42c | 80.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Passion UA | 52c | 77.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Passion UA | 52c | 76.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NIP | 49c | 73.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked NIP | 35c | 65.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Passion UA | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 244 | 40.2%98 W · 146 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Passion UA | 69c | 64.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Passion UA | 57c | 60.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Passion UA | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Passion UA | 66c | 59.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed NIP | 48c | 55.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Passion UA | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Passion UA | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…b8f4backed Passion UA | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NIP | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed NIP | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Passion UA | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…011dbacked NIP | 51c | 39.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…93c0backed Passion UA | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed NIP | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed NIP | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Passion UA | 75c | 22.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed Passion UA | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Passion UA | 78c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.