CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1338c4ef8954f8501be0d5470465506cf24c28707158045752932f2d6df601d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Passion UA | 41c | 6,170$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.4 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NIP | 61c | 5,641$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.4 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Passion UA | 41c | 4,203$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.02 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Passion UA | 40c | 2,874$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.59 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Passion UA | 15c | 2,799$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Passion UA | 20c | 1,774$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP | 59c | 1,744$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.89 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked NIP | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed NIP | 58c | 796.39$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.48 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Passion UA | 40c | 719.83$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.93 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Passion UA | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed NIP | 74c | 624.06$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed NIP | 57c | 599.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed NIP | 61c | 555$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed NIP | 76c | 540.65$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked NIP | 59c | 504.66$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed NIP | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP | 74c | 497.62$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.27 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Passion UA | 42c | 430$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed NIP | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Passion UA | 18c | 399.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed Passion UA | 6c | 329.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Passion UA | 30c | 316.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NIP | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Passion UA | 40c | 274$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Passion UA | 9c | 270.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Passion UA | 41c | 216.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 61c | 208.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…3c31backed Passion UA | 6c | 189.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed NIP | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed NIP | 60c | 147.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Passion UA | 26c | 107.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed NIP | 58c | 90.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…3757backed Passion UA | 42c | 82.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 72c | 69.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 69c | 67.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked NIP | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed NIP | 63c | 62.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed NIP | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed NIP | 59c | 60.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed NIP | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 77c | 50.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed NIP | 64c | 50.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Passion UA | 27c | 48.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP | 63c | 36.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked NIP | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed NIP | 66c | 21.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed NIP | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed NIP | 67c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerPassion UA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.