Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x674281af2799c8cdec8bde7da23113cedd908d3f4a5b7a00440aa7c373de4c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof FunPlus Phoenix, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FunPlus Phoenix | 3c | 1,126$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 999.99$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.3 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 798.75$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 786.75$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.76 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 721.84$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.12 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 18c | 450.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 441.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FunPlus Phoenix | 22c | 334.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 238$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed FunPlus Phoenix | 33c | 229.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FunPlus Phoenix | 27c | 205.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…dd31backed FunPlus Phoenix | 27c | 201$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed FunPlus Phoenix | 44c | 194$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed FunPlus Phoenix | 36c | 193.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 17c | 181.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 45c | 179$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed FunPlus Phoenix | 40c | 159.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 144.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed FunPlus Phoenix | 49c | 143.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 26c | 139.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 118.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed FunPlus Phoenix | 44c | 112.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 108.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 49c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 18c | 100.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 27c | 70.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 66.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 60.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…c8f3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 58.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 56.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 48.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 41.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 44c | 35.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…0429backed FunPlus Phoenix | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed FunPlus Phoenix | 42c | 31.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Bilibili Gaming | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FunPlus Phoenix | 41c | 25.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…7e51backed FunPlus Phoenix | 48c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…1100backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 17.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.